← Map
ABSAFEPrairies
Red Deer
B
Burton Bailey
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative63%±6%·>99% win
Liberal25%±4%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
20.6%
#23 of 343top 10%
Median income
$56,050
Renters
33.0%
Under 35
19.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.1%
Area
2,090 km²
GE45 result
Margin
49.7%
Competitive
50.3/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#110
Median income
$56,050
#218
Avg 2BR rent
$1363/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T98
Unemployment
11.9%
#152
Shelter stressed
20.8%
#117
Renters
33.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
19.4%#T77
35–64
57.8%
65+
22.9%#276
Housing tenure
Renters
33.0%#117
Owners
67.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.7%#T147
High school
29.5%#T65
College/trades
38.4%#124
Bachelor's
15.9%#214
Postgrad
5.4%#261
People & Economy
#268
French knowledge
5.2%
bottom 25%#180
Immigrants
15.6%
#151
Recent arrivals
3.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#170
Visible minority
17.1%
#78
Indigenous
6.5%
top 25%#T226
Govt. transfers
11.0%
#157
Self-employed
14.2%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.1%
Trades & transport19.2%
Resources8.3%
Finance & prof7.8%
Manufacturing7.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 8.7 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 152.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.4M/yr
Explore similar ridings