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NLSAFEAtlantic
St. John's East
J
Joanne Thompson
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±6%·>99% win
Conservative18%±5%·<1% win
NDP12%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
37.0%
#23 of 343top 10%
Median income
$58,700
Renters
34.7%
Under 35
20.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 37.0%
Area
905 km²
GE45 result
Margin
36.4%
Competitive
63.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.3% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#83
Median income
$58,700
top 25%#241
Avg 2BR rent
$1264/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T134
Unemployment
10.9%
#165
Shelter stressed
20.1%
#107
Renters
34.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
20.1%#72
35–64
53.6%
65+
26.3%#203
Housing tenure
Renters
34.7%#107
Owners
65.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.3%#264
High school
19.5%#234
College/trades
33.2%#196
Bachelor's
23.5%#123
Postgrad
17.5%#59
People & Economy
#146
French knowledge
10.1%
#256
Immigrants
7.7%
#179
Recent arrivals
2.6%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#207
Visible minority
10.7%
#146
Indigenous
3.5%
#236
Govt. transfers
10.8%
#280
Self-employed
10.7%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector37.0%#23
Trades & transport12.1%#285
Finance & prof11.6%#153
Resources3.4%#T134
Manufacturing2.5%#332
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 56.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$60.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.5M/yr
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