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ONSWINGOntario
Richmond Hill South
V
Vincent Ho
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal46%±6%·62% win
Conservative44%±6%·38% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Shelter stressed
38.5%
#8 of 343top 5%
Median income
$54,950
Renters
26.6%
Under 35
11.5%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 24.6%
Area
47 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.9%
Competitive
92.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.3% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement60.0% immigrants
Employment13.3% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#126
Median income
$54,950
#28
Avg 2BR rent
$2097/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T51
Unemployment
13.3%
top 25%#8
Shelter stressed
38.5%
top 5%#187
Renters
26.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
11.5%#276
35–64
59.2%
65+
29.3%#142
Housing tenure
Renters
26.6%#187
Owners
73.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.5%#T314
High school
17.1%#278
College/trades
23.1%#322
Bachelor's
35.2%#16
Postgrad
20.2%#37
People & Economy
#227
French knowledge
6.4%
#8
Immigrants
60.0%
top 5%#T55
Recent arrivals
6.5%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#29
Visible minority
68.8%
top 10%#333
Indigenous
0.3%
bottom 5%#T259
Govt. transfers
9.9%
bottom 25%#14
Self-employed
22.3%
top 5%Industry of employment
Finance & prof24.6%
Public sector20.8%
Trades & transport10.5%
Manufacturing7.2%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 31.2 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.8M/yr
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