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ONSAFEOntario
University—Rosedale
D
Danielle Martin
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal68%±6%·>99% win
Conservative15%±5%·<1% win
NDP11%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Shelter stressed
42.1%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$89,300
Renters
59.4%
Under 35
37.8%
Top industry
Finance & prof · 29.7%
Area
15 km²
GE45 result
Margin
40.5%
Competitive
59.5/100
Key issues
Housing affordability59.4% renters
Immigration & settlement36.2% immigrants
Employment13.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#3
Median income
$89,300
top 5%#10
Avg 2BR rent
$2549/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T48
Unemployment
13.4%
top 25%#2
Shelter stressed
42.1%
top 5%#22
Renters
59.4%
top 10%Age distribution
Under 35
37.8%#3
35–64
40.3%
65+
21.9%#290
Housing tenure
Renters
59.4%#22
Owners
40.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.5%#T312
High school
13.0%#334
College/trades
15.0%#343
Bachelor's
36.3%#11
Postgrad
31.3%#4
People & Economy
#107
French knowledge
14.8%
#71
Immigrants
36.2%
top 25%#T63
Recent arrivals
6.3%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#66
Visible minority
43.4%
top 25%#T284
Indigenous
1.0%
bottom 25%#340
Govt. transfers
4.7%
bottom 5%#26
Self-employed
20.7%
top 10%Industry of employment
Finance & prof29.7%
Public sector25.5%
Trades & transport5.2%
Manufacturing2.6%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 21.8 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$28.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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