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BCSAFEBC
Vancouver Quadra
W
Wade Grant
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal61%±6%·>99% win
Conservative22%±5%·<1% win
NDP12%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$3009/mo
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$79,100
Renters
46.0%
Under 35
23.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 31.5%
Area
57 km²
GE45 result
Margin
32.8%
Competitive
67.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.4% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement39.4% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#11
Median income
$79,100
top 5%#2
Avg 2BR rent
$3009/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T214
Unemployment
9.1%
#7
Shelter stressed
38.5%
top 5%#56
Renters
46.0%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
23.1%#37
35–64
50.6%
65+
26.4%#199
Housing tenure
Renters
46.0%#56
Owners
53.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
2.0%#342
High school
13.1%#333
College/trades
17.6%#339
Bachelor's
36.2%#12
Postgrad
31.2%#6
People & Economy
#117
French knowledge
12.8%
#59
Immigrants
39.4%
top 25%#T55
Recent arrivals
6.5%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#59
Visible minority
45.7%
top 25%#223
Indigenous
1.8%
#338
Govt. transfers
5.0%
bottom 5%#4
Self-employed
24.2%
top 5%Industry of employment
Public sector31.5%
Finance & prof23.1%
Trades & transport6.9%
Manufacturing2.8%
Resources1.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 39.4 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 1 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$75.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.9M/yr
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