A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal53%±6%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois25%±5%·<1% win
Conservative9%±6%·<1% win
NDP8%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Renters
55.0%
#32 of 343top 10%
Median income
$44,240
Under 35
19.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.5%
Area
39 km²
GE45 result
Margin
22.7%
Competitive
77.3/100
Key issues
Housing affordability55.0% renters
Seniors & healthcare25.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#309
Median income
$44,240
bottom 10%
#T302
Avg 2BR rent
$1046/mo
bottom 25%
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T241
Unemployment
8.5%
#T186
Shelter stressed
18.6%
#32
Renters
55.0%
top 10%
Age distribution
Under 35
19.1%#81
35–64
55.2%
65+
25.7%#216
Housing tenure
Renters
55.0%#32
Owners
45.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.5%#72
High school
18.8%#T247
College/trades
39.5%#T103
Bachelor's
17.1%#202
Postgrad
11.2%#139
People & Economy
#57
French knowledge
93.8%
top 25%
#137
Immigrants
23.2%
#107
Recent arrivals
4.9%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#125
Visible minority
28.7%
#T254
Indigenous
1.4%
#T44
Govt. transfers
17.8%
top 25%
#314
Self-employed
9.1%
bottom 10%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.5%
Trades & transport16.1%
Finance & prof12.9%
Manufacturing9.0%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.