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ONLEANOntario
Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke
C
Cheryl Gallant
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative48%±6%·86% win
Liberal41%±5%·14% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
36.8%
#27 of 343top 10%
Median income
$50,200
Renters
24.9%
Under 35
15.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 36.8%
Area
12,778 km²
GE45 result
Margin
17.9%
Competitive
82.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare33.4% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#207
Median income
$50,200
#273
Avg 2BR rent
$1154/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T211
Unemployment
9.2%
#263
Shelter stressed
14.3%
bottom 25%#214
Renters
24.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.7%#150
35–64
50.9%
65+
33.4%#62
Housing tenure
Renters
24.9%#214
Owners
75.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.1%#182
High school
32.1%#27
College/trades
41.7%#68
Bachelor's
11.8%#293
Postgrad
5.3%#T267
People & Economy
#116
French knowledge
12.9%
#282
Immigrants
5.5%
bottom 25%#T314
Recent arrivals
0.4%
bottom 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#299
Visible minority
3.3%
bottom 25%#57
Indigenous
8.8%
top 25%#T102
Govt. transfers
15.8%
#T215
Self-employed
12.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector36.8%
Trades & transport19.3%
Finance & prof9.4%
Manufacturing6.2%
Resources3.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 27.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 6 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$9.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.7M/yr
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