ABSAFEPrairies

Battle River—Crowfoot

Pierre Poilievre

Conservative

pierre.poilievre@parl.gc.ca 613-947-4608

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative74%±6%·>99% win

Liberal16%±4%·<1% win

NDP5%±4%·<1% win

Green3%±3%·<1% win

People's3%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Self-employed

24.4%

#3 of 343top 5%

Median income

$51,650

Renters

21.8%

Under 35

15.6%

Top industry

Self-employed · 24.4%

Area

54,543 km²

GE45 result

Margin

71.1%

Competitive

28.9/100

Key issues

Energy & natural resources21.5% resource sector

Seniors & healthcare31.0% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T179

Median income

$51,650

#259

Avg 2BR rent

$1199/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T214

Unemployment

9.1%

#196

Shelter stressed

18.2%

#254

Renters

21.8%

Age distribution

Under 35

15.6%#155

35–64

53.4%

65+

31.0%#108

Housing tenure

Renters

21.8%#254

Owners

78.2%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

12.4%#89

High school

32.5%#21

College/trades

39.9%#93

Bachelor's

11.8%#292

Postgrad

3.4%#334

People & Economy

#335

French knowledge

2.8%

bottom 5%

#253

Immigrants

7.7%

#212

Recent arrivals

1.9%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#248

Visible minority

6.3%

#100

Indigenous

5.3%

#T166

Govt. transfers

13.3%

Self-employed

24.4%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Public sector24.0%

Resources21.5%

Trades & transport21.1%

Finance & prof6.1%

Manufacturing4.1%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Low

Index: 19.4 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 0 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 80.0 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$4.0M/yr

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