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NLLEANAtlantic
Central Newfoundland
C
Clifford Small
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative46%±6%·56% win
Liberal45%±6%·44% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
20.2%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$41,520
Renters
22.0%
Under 35
10.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.8%
Area
57,536 km²
GE45 result
Margin
10.6%
Competitive
89.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare37.3% aged 65+
Employment20.2% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T324
Median income
$41,520
bottom 10%#313
Avg 2BR rent
$1004/mo
bottom 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#3
Unemployment
20.2%
top 5%#294
Shelter stressed
12.8%
bottom 25%#251
Renters
22.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
10.2%#311
35–64
52.5%
65+
37.3%#19
Housing tenure
Renters
22.0%#251
Owners
77.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
19.7%#12
High school
27.9%#99
College/trades
40.8%#81
Bachelor's
7.5%#341
Postgrad
4.1%#310
People & Economy
#339
French knowledge
2.7%
bottom 5%#340
Immigrants
1.2%
bottom 5%#332
Recent arrivals
0.3%
bottom 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#338
Visible minority
1.2%
bottom 5%#73
Indigenous
7.0%
top 25%#T6
Govt. transfers
25.2%
top 5%#336
Self-employed
7.2%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector33.8%
Trades & transport23.1%
Resources11.8%
Manufacturing5.2%
Finance & prof3.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 37.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 19 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.3M/yr
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