BCTOSSUPBC

Courtenay—Alberni

Gord Johns

NDP

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

NDP47%±6%·>99% win

Conservative26%±6%·<1% win

Liberal21%±6%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±2%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

65+

43.3%

#2 of 343top 5%

Median income

$47,960

Renters

23.2%

Under 35

9.9%

Top industry

Public sector · 26.9%

Area

12,084 km²

GE45 result

Margin

4.5%

Competitive

95.5/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare43.3% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#247 / 343

Median income

$47,960

#183 / 343

Avg 2BR rent

$1462/mo

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T226 / 343

Unemployment

8.8%

#157 / 343

Shelter stressed

20.5%

#239 / 343

Renters

23.2%

Age distribution

Under 35

9.9%#T321

35–64

46.9%

65+

43.3%#2

Housing tenure

Renters

23.2%#239

Owners

76.2%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

11.1%#134

High school

29.3%#70

College/trades

38.2%#130

Bachelor's

14.1%#251

Postgrad

7.3%#T209

People & Economy

#206 / 343

French knowledge

6.8%

#189 / 343

Immigrants

14.1%

#T255 / 343

Recent arrivals

1.1%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#257 / 343

Visible minority

5.9%

#54 / 343

Indigenous

9.6%

top 25%

#T44 / 343

Govt. transfers

17.8%

top 25%

#10 / 343

Self-employed

23.0%

top 5%

Industry of employment

Public sector26.9%#150

Trades & transport20.6%#117

Finance & prof8.9%#T210

Resources5.3%#95

Manufacturing4.5%#T275

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 40.6 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

Low

Index: 5 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Average

Index: 104.3 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$2.9M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$1.1M/yr

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