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BCTOSSUPBC
Courtenay—Alberni
G
Gord Johns
NDP
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
NDP47%±6%·>99% win
Conservative26%±6%·<1% win
Liberal21%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
65+
43.3%
#2 of 343top 5%
Median income
$47,960
Renters
23.2%
Under 35
9.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.9%
Area
12,084 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.5%
Competitive
95.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare43.3% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#247
Median income
$47,960
#183
Avg 2BR rent
$1462/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T226
Unemployment
8.8%
#157
Shelter stressed
20.5%
#239
Renters
23.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
9.9%#T321
35–64
46.9%
65+
43.3%#2
Housing tenure
Renters
23.2%#239
Owners
76.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.1%#134
High school
29.3%#70
College/trades
38.2%#130
Bachelor's
14.1%#251
Postgrad
7.3%#T209
People & Economy
#206
French knowledge
6.8%
#189
Immigrants
14.1%
#T255
Recent arrivals
1.1%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#257
Visible minority
5.9%
#54
Indigenous
9.6%
top 25%#T44
Govt. transfers
17.8%
top 25%#10
Self-employed
23.0%
top 5%Industry of employment
Public sector26.9%
Trades & transport20.6%
Finance & prof8.9%
Resources5.3%
Manufacturing4.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 40.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 5 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$1.1M/yr
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