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ONSAFEOntario
Dufferin—Caledon
K
Kyle Seeback
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative52%±6%·98% win
Liberal38%±5%·2% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Construction
12.3%
#15 of 343top 5%
Median income
$60,700
Renters
14.5%
Under 35
10.3%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.6%
Area
2,161 km²
GE45 result
Margin
24.9%
Competitive
75.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.9% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T63
Median income
$60,700
top 25%#T59
Avg 2BR rent
$1935/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T157
Unemployment
10.4%
#T143
Shelter stressed
21.2%
#331
Renters
14.5%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
10.3%#308
35–64
63.8%
65+
25.9%#211
Housing tenure
Renters
14.5%#331
Owners
85.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.3%#T216
High school
28.6%#84
College/trades
37.4%#142
Bachelor's
18.6%#176
Postgrad
7.1%#T214
People & Economy
#T249
French knowledge
5.8%
#165
Immigrants
19.2%
#T253
Recent arrivals
1.1%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#173
Visible minority
16.7%
#T244
Indigenous
1.6%
#T271
Govt. transfers
9.3%
bottom 25%#84
Self-employed
16.9%
top 25%Industry of employment
Trades & transport22.4%
Public sector21.6%
Manufacturing11.4%
Finance & prof10.0%
Resources2.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 22.3 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$82.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.8M/yr
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