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ONTOSSUPOntario
Milton East—Halton Hills South
K
Kristina Tesser Derksen
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal53%±6%·98% win
Conservative38%±5%·2% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2116/mo
#27 of 343top 10%
Median income
$63,050
Renters
14.1%
Under 35
9.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 21.8%
Area
257 km²
GE45 result
Margin
0.1%
Competitive
99.9/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#54
Median income
$63,050
top 25%#27
Avg 2BR rent
$2116/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T138
Unemployment
10.8%
#141
Shelter stressed
21.3%
#334
Renters
14.1%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
9.8%#323
35–64
71.2%
65+
19.0%#322
Housing tenure
Renters
14.1%#334
Owners
85.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
5.3%#294
High school
20.4%#215
College/trades
30.6%#228
Bachelor's
29.8%#51
Postgrad
13.9%#92
People & Economy
#172
French knowledge
7.9%
#85
Immigrants
33.4%
top 25%#T124
Recent arrivals
4.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#88
Visible minority
38.3%
#282
Indigenous
1.1%
bottom 25%#T311
Govt. transfers
7.7%
bottom 10%#T191
Self-employed
13.1%
Industry of employment
Public sector21.8%
Finance & prof16.9%
Trades & transport15.1%
Manufacturing10.1%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 30.0 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.3M/yr
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