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BCTOSSUPBC
South Surrey—White Rock
E
Ernie Klassen
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal49%±6%·97% win
Conservative35%±5%·3% win
NDP10%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Self-employed
24.0%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$63,550
Renters
23.5%
Under 35
9.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.5%
Area
193 km²
GE45 result
Margin
4.8%
Competitive
95.2/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare36.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T50
Median income
$63,550
top 25%#20
Avg 2BR rent
$2240/mo
top 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T259
Unemployment
8.1%
bottom 25%#50
Shelter stressed
28.6%
top 25%#234
Renters
23.5%
Age distribution
Under 35
9.4%#329
35–64
54.0%
65+
36.6%#27
Housing tenure
Renters
23.5%#234
Owners
76.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.4%#316
High school
23.2%#T172
College/trades
30.4%#232
Bachelor's
26.1%#98
Postgrad
15.8%#73
People & Economy
#196
French knowledge
7.1%
#86
Immigrants
33.4%
#119
Recent arrivals
4.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#91
Visible minority
37.3%
#200
Indigenous
2.1%
#T267
Govt. transfers
9.6%
bottom 25%#5
Self-employed
24.0%
top 5%Industry of employment
Public sector25.5%
Finance & prof15.8%
Trades & transport15.3%
Manufacturing5.4%
Resources1.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 48.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 166.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$5.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.2M/yr
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