ONSWINGOntario

Wellington—Halton Hills North

Michael Chong

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal46%±6%·70% win

Conservative43%±6%·30% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Drive to work

87.6%

#31 of 343top 10%

Median income

$64,700

Renters

15.7%

Under 35

11.9%

Top industry

Public sector · 23.6%

Area

1,454 km²

GE45 result

Margin

6.2%

Competitive

93.8/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare27.6% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#T43

Median income

$64,700

top 25%

#68

Avg 2BR rent

$1907/mo

top 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T241

Unemployment

8.5%

#210

Shelter stressed

17.5%

#321

Renters

15.7%

bottom 10%

Age distribution

Under 35

11.9%#T271

35–64

60.5%

65+

27.6%#178

Housing tenure

Renters

15.7%#321

Owners

84.3%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

6.8%#254

High school

23.9%#164

College/trades

35.7%#159

Bachelor's

22.4%#131

Postgrad

11.2%#137

People & Economy

#186

French knowledge

7.5%

#172

Immigrants

17.3%

#T228

Recent arrivals

1.5%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#T185

Visible minority

14.3%

#T242

Indigenous

1.6%

#T288

Govt. transfers

8.8%

bottom 25%

#73

Self-employed

17.4%

top 25%

Industry of employment

Public sector23.6%

Trades & transport18.6%

Manufacturing13.3%

Finance & prof12.3%

Resources3.6%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 31.5 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 76.2 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$1.8M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$1.4M/yr

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