ONSWINGOntario

Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North

Dan Muys

Conservative

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Liberal45%±6%·52% win

Conservative45%±5%·48% win

NDP5%±5%·<1% win

Green3%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Drive to work

87.9%

#27 of 343top 10%

Median income

$62,350

Renters

11.3%

Under 35

10.9%

Top industry

Public sector · 25.1%

Area

1,166 km²

GE45 result

Margin

9.5%

Competitive

90.5/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare29.3% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#59

Median income

$62,350

top 25%

#T50

Avg 2BR rent

$1989/mo

top 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T232

Unemployment

8.7%

#223

Shelter stressed

16.9%

#342

Renters

11.3%

bottom 5%

Age distribution

Under 35

10.9%#291

35–64

59.8%

65+

29.3%#143

Housing tenure

Renters

11.3%#342

Owners

88.8%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

6.5%#262

High school

23.9%#162

College/trades

38.8%#118

Bachelor's

21.3%#144

Postgrad

9.6%#162

People & Economy

#271

French knowledge

5.2%

bottom 25%

#174

Immigrants

16.4%

#T247

Recent arrivals

1.2%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#199

Visible minority

12.2%

#T239

Indigenous

1.6%

#T259

Govt. transfers

9.9%

bottom 25%

#90

Self-employed

16.8%

Industry of employment

Public sector25.1%

Trades & transport19.0%

Finance & prof11.8%

Manufacturing10.6%

Resources3.4%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

Moderate

Index: 34.5 / 100

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

Below average

Index: 74.8 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$20.1M/yr

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