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QCSAFEQuebec
Honoré-Mercier
E
Eric St-Pierre
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal63%±7%·>99% win
Conservative13%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois12%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Govt. transfers
18.0%
#41 of 343top 25%
Median income
$46,240
Renters
44.4%
Under 35
11.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 29.5%
Area
45 km²
GE45 result
Margin
38.7%
Competitive
61.3/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.4% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement35.9% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T274
Median income
$46,240
bottom 25%#296
Avg 2BR rent
$1068/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T238
Unemployment
8.6%
#200
Shelter stressed
17.9%
#64
Renters
44.4%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
11.0%#290
35–64
56.6%
65+
32.4%#82
Housing tenure
Renters
44.4%#64
Owners
55.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
12.3%#92
High school
18.4%#258
College/trades
42.3%#55
Bachelor's
18.2%#182
Postgrad
8.8%#183
People & Economy
#54
French knowledge
94.9%
top 25%#75
Immigrants
35.9%
top 25%#146
Recent arrivals
3.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#86
Visible minority
38.5%
#312
Indigenous
0.6%
bottom 10%#T41
Govt. transfers
18.0%
top 25%#301
Self-employed
9.9%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector29.5%
Trades & transport14.3%
Finance & prof12.4%
Manufacturing9.9%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.8 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.6M/yr
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