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ONSAFEOntario
King—Vaughan
A
Anna Roberts
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative52%±5%·99% win
Liberal39%±5%·1% win
NDP4%±4%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2684/mo
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$66,600
Renters
12.0%
Under 35
8.1%
Top industry
Self-employed · 21.5%
Area
485 km²
GE45 result
Margin
25.6%
Competitive
74.4/100
Key issues
Immigration & settlement41.7% immigrants
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#34
Median income
$66,600
top 10%#5
Avg 2BR rent
$2684/mo
top 5%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T98
Unemployment
11.9%
#58
Shelter stressed
27.8%
top 25%#339
Renters
12.0%
bottom 5%Age distribution
Under 35
8.1%#337
35–64
70.8%
65+
21.0%#302
Housing tenure
Renters
12.0%#339
Owners
88.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.1%#247
High school
21.4%#205
College/trades
28.3%#256
Bachelor's
28.4%#71
Postgrad
14.9%#84
People & Economy
#T239
French knowledge
6.1%
#51
Immigrants
41.7%
top 25%#144
Recent arrivals
3.8%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#74
Visible minority
42.5%
top 25%#330
Indigenous
0.3%
bottom 5%#T317
Govt. transfers
7.3%
bottom 10%#22
Self-employed
21.5%
top 10%Industry of employment
Public sector19.9%
Finance & prof18.9%
Trades & transport16.1%
Manufacturing9.1%
Resources1.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 34.7 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.8M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$8.1M/yr
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