← Map
NLSWINGAtlantic
Labrador
P
Philip Earle
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal55%±6%·>99% win
Conservative32%±5%·<1% win
NDP8%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
21.3%
#6 of 343top 5%
Median income
$64,000
Renters
24.7%
Under 35
19.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 29.2%
Area
334,056 km²
GE45 result
Margin
9.8%
Competitive
90.2/100
Key issues
Energy & natural resources21.3% resource sector
Employment12.6% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#49
Median income
$64,000
top 25%#298
Avg 2BR rent
$1063/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T70
Unemployment
12.6%
top 25%#342
Shelter stressed
5.9%
bottom 5%#217
Renters
24.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
19.1%#83
35–64
60.4%
65+
20.5%#309
Housing tenure
Renters
24.7%#217
Owners
71.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.9%#67
High school
23.4%#171
College/trades
47.5%#31
Bachelor's
11.2%#309
Postgrad
4.0%#311
People & Economy
#T189
French knowledge
7.4%
#297
Immigrants
4.3%
bottom 25%#T204
Recent arrivals
2.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#272
Visible minority
4.9%
bottom 25%#6
Indigenous
43.1%
top 5%#T223
Govt. transfers
11.1%
#342
Self-employed
4.3%
bottom 5%Industry of employment
Public sector29.2%
Trades & transport27.5%
Resources21.3%
Manufacturing3.2%
Finance & prof2.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 30.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 24 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$8.0M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.3M/yr
Explore similar ridings
St. John's East
LPCNL
Similar population density and young adult share
Explore →Red Deer
CPCAB
Similar population density and young adult share
Explore →Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong
LPCON
Similar population density and renter share
Explore →Thunder Bay—Superior North
LPCON
Similar population density and average rent
Explore →