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ONLEANOntario
London—Fanshawe
K
Kurt Holman
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal34%±6%·48% win
Conservative34%±5%·45% win
NDP27%±5%·7% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
14.3%
#27 of 343top 10%
Median income
$43,000
Renters
33.1%
Under 35
18.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.9%
Area
115 km²
GE45 result
Margin
10.1%
Competitive
89.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.7% aged 65+
Employment14.4% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#319
Median income
$43,000
bottom 10%#232
Avg 2BR rent
$1297/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#31
Unemployment
14.4%
top 10%#180
Shelter stressed
19.1%
#115
Renters
33.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
18.1%#94
35–64
56.3%
65+
25.7%#T217
Housing tenure
Renters
33.1%#115
Owners
66.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.4%#74
High school
30.0%#61
College/trades
37.5%#139
Bachelor's
13.4%#263
Postgrad
5.6%#252
People & Economy
#T251
French knowledge
5.8%
#130
Immigrants
24.7%
#T117
Recent arrivals
4.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#128
Visible minority
27.7%
#143
Indigenous
3.5%
#39
Govt. transfers
18.2%
top 25%#298
Self-employed
10.0%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector22.9%
Trades & transport21.1%
Manufacturing14.3%
Finance & prof10.2%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 36.2 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$4.5M/yr
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