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QCSWINGQuebec
Mirabel
J
Jean-Denis Garon
Bloc Québécois
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Bloc Québécois40%±6%·75% win
Liberal35%±6%·25% win
Conservative14%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
90.5%
#3 of 343top 5%
Median income
$53,250
Renters
27.1%
Under 35
18.5%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.3%
Area
757 km²
GE45 result
Margin
6.5%
Competitive
93.5/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#154
Median income
$53,250
#T197
Avg 2BR rent
$1413/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T329
Unemployment
5.4%
bottom 5%#295
Shelter stressed
12.8%
bottom 25%#183
Renters
27.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
18.5%#90
35–64
60.9%
65+
20.5%#308
Housing tenure
Renters
27.1%#183
Owners
72.9%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
12.0%#99
High school
19.0%#241
College/trades
49.8%#15
Bachelor's
13.8%#255
Postgrad
5.5%#T255
People & Economy
#33
French knowledge
98.7%
top 10%#270
Immigrants
6.6%
bottom 25%#T275
Recent arrivals
0.8%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#233
Visible minority
7.0%
#T196
Indigenous
2.2%
#177
Govt. transfers
12.9%
#214
Self-employed
12.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector24.3%
Trades & transport21.5%
Manufacturing11.8%
Finance & prof9.7%
Resources2.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 38.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.2M/yr
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