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MBSAFEPrairies
Portage—Lisgar
B
Branden Leslie
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative61%±6%·>99% win
Liberal26%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
14.1%
#30 of 343top 10%
Median income
$47,480
Renters
21.4%
Under 35
19.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.3%
Area
10,649 km²
GE45 result
Margin
46.6%
Competitive
53.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.9% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T257
Median income
$47,480
#196
Avg 2BR rent
$1423/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T333
Unemployment
5.3%
bottom 5%#266
Shelter stressed
14.2%
bottom 25%#262
Renters
21.4%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
19.2%#79
35–64
53.9%
65+
26.9%#191
Housing tenure
Renters
21.4%#262
Owners
78.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
18.3%#17
High school
32.2%#T25
College/trades
30.5%#230
Bachelor's
14.1%#252
Postgrad
5.0%#279
People & Economy
#195
French knowledge
7.1%
#179
Immigrants
15.6%
#T148
Recent arrivals
3.7%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#242
Visible minority
6.5%
#47
Indigenous
10.4%
top 25%#157
Govt. transfers
13.6%
#78
Self-employed
17.2%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector26.3%
Trades & transport21.4%
Manufacturing14.1%
Resources11.0%
Finance & prof5.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 36.6 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$2.1M/yr
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