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ONSAFEOntario
Ottawa South
D
David McGuinty
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal69%±6%·>99% win
Conservative19%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
41.3%
#15 of 343top 5%
Median income
$55,800
Renters
41.9%
Under 35
18.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 41.3%
Area
100 km²
GE45 result
Margin
38.1%
Competitive
61.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare25.5% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#111
Median income
$55,800
#165
Avg 2BR rent
$1508/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T87
Unemployment
12.2%
#138
Shelter stressed
21.5%
#78
Renters
41.9%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
18.9%#85
35–64
55.5%
65+
25.5%#T224
Housing tenure
Renters
41.9%#78
Owners
58.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.8%#203
High school
19.9%#T227
College/trades
26.2%#284
Bachelor's
26.6%#92
Postgrad
18.5%#53
People & Economy
#90
French knowledge
36.1%
#80
Immigrants
34.5%
top 25%#47
Recent arrivals
6.9%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#54
Visible minority
47.3%
top 25%#202
Indigenous
2.1%
#T201
Govt. transfers
11.7%
#197
Self-employed
12.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector41.3%
Finance & prof12.6%
Trades & transport11.5%
Manufacturing2.6%
Resources0.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 34.4 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$5.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$13.4M/yr
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