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QCSAFEQuebec
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier
J
Joël Godin
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative42%±6%·95% win
Liberal32%±5%·5% win
Bloc Québécois17%±5%·<1% win
NDP4%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Drive to work
89.8%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$55,650
Renters
19.8%
Under 35
15.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 34.0%
Area
7,548 km²
GE45 result
Margin
20.6%
Competitive
79.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.4% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#113
Median income
$55,650
#265
Avg 2BR rent
$1181/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#337
Unemployment
5.1%
bottom 5%#337
Shelter stressed
9.4%
bottom 5%#276
Renters
19.8%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
15.2%#164
35–64
56.4%
65+
28.4%#164
Housing tenure
Renters
19.8%#276
Owners
80.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.8%#230
High school
17.2%#275
College/trades
50.8%#9
Bachelor's
16.1%#212
Postgrad
8.1%#192
People & Economy
#T14
French knowledge
99.6%
top 5%#322
Immigrants
2.3%
bottom 10%#T328
Recent arrivals
0.3%
bottom 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T327
Visible minority
1.7%
bottom 5%#T220
Indigenous
1.8%
#T173
Govt. transfers
13.0%
#243
Self-employed
11.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector34.0%
Trades & transport18.3%
Finance & prof10.8%
Manufacturing10.7%
Resources2.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 16.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$11.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.2M/yr
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