MBSAFEPrairies

Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman

James Bezan

Conservative

james.bezan@parl.gc.ca 613-992-2032

Civic Tools

A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.

Projected vote share — current polls

Conservative52%±6%·>99% win

Liberal33%±5%·<1% win

NDP8%±5%·<1% win

Green4%±4%·<1% win

People's2%±3%·<1% win

Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win

Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations

Riding snapshot

Construction

11.6%

#28 of 343top 10%

Median income

$49,880

Renters

15.5%

Under 35

12.2%

Top industry

Public sector · 30.1%

Area

25,694 km²

GE45 result

Margin

29.8%

Competitive

70.2/100

Key issues

Seniors & healthcare35.3% aged 65+

Demographics · 2021 Census

Key Stats

#210

Median income

$49,880

#286

Avg 2BR rent

$1101/mo

bottom 25%

2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025

#T264

Unemployment

8.0%

bottom 25%

#306

Shelter stressed

12.1%

bottom 25%

#326

Renters

15.5%

bottom 5%

Age distribution

Under 35

12.2%#264

35–64

52.6%

65+

35.3%#44

Housing tenure

Renters

15.5%#326

Owners

83.9%

Education attainment (ages 25–64)

No diploma

13.3%#77

High school

33.8%#7

College/trades

37.9%#135

Bachelor's

11.6%#296

Postgrad

3.5%#T328

People & Economy

#T245

French knowledge

6.0%

#268

Immigrants

6.8%

bottom 25%

#274

Recent arrivals

0.8%

bottom 25%

Immigrants arrived 2016–21

#306

Visible minority

3.0%

bottom 25%

#15

Indigenous

21.5%

top 5%

#T117

Govt. transfers

15.0%

#101

Self-employed

16.0%

Industry of employment

Public sector30.1%

Trades & transport25.2%

Resources8.4%

Finance & prof6.5%

Manufacturing6.3%

Infrastructure & environment

Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.

High

Index: 48.9 / 100

Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.

High

Index: 86 (avg = 100)

Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.

High severity

Index: 159.7 (avg = 100)

Federal Spending

Avg federal spending

$5.0M/yr

Avg CCBF allocation

$0.9M/yr

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