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QCLEANQuebec
Thérèse-De Blainville
M
Madeleine Chenette
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal49%±6%·>99% win
Bloc Québécois30%±6%·<1% win
Conservative11%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
98.0%
#37 of 343top 25%
Median income
$59,350
Renters
29.3%
Under 35
14.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.5%
Area
80 km²
GE45 result
Margin
13.5%
Competitive
86.5/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#77
Median income
$59,350
top 25%#261
Avg 2BR rent
$1194/mo
bottom 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T308
Unemployment
6.3%
bottom 25%#252
Shelter stressed
14.9%
#155
Renters
29.3%
Age distribution
Under 35
14.1%#190
35–64
61.2%
65+
24.7%#240
Housing tenure
Renters
29.3%#155
Owners
70.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
9.0%#187
High school
16.7%#286
College/trades
44.6%#45
Bachelor's
19.8%#162
Postgrad
9.9%#158
People & Economy
#37
French knowledge
98.0%
top 25%#212
Immigrants
11.7%
#T243
Recent arrivals
1.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#198
Visible minority
12.3%
#T268
Indigenous
1.2%
bottom 25%#T231
Govt. transfers
10.9%
#164
Self-employed
13.9%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.5%
Trades & transport15.3%
Finance & prof12.4%
Manufacturing11.1%
Resources0.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 24.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.6M/yr
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