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ONTOSSUPOntario
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore
K
Kathy Borrelli
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal48%±6%·89% win
Conservative39%±6%·11% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
20.9%
#5 of 343top 5%
Median income
$51,300
Renters
28.4%
Under 35
12.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.8%
Area
310 km²
GE45 result
Margin
0.1%
Competitive
99.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.5% aged 65+
Employment17.8% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T188
Median income
$51,300
#195
Avg 2BR rent
$1426/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T8
Unemployment
17.8%
top 5%#205
Shelter stressed
17.7%
#T162
Renters
28.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.8%#T247
35–64
54.7%
65+
32.5%#79
Housing tenure
Renters
28.4%#T162
Owners
71.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.9%#195
High school
30.9%#42
College/trades
33.3%#194
Bachelor's
17.9%#189
Postgrad
9.0%#178
People & Economy
#147
French knowledge
10.0%
#131
Immigrants
24.2%
#153
Recent arrivals
3.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#160
Visible minority
20.8%
#158
Indigenous
3.1%
#T105
Govt. transfers
15.5%
#T246
Self-employed
11.7%
Industry of employment
Public sector24.8%#208
Manufacturing20.9%#5
Trades & transport17.8%#183
Finance & prof8.9%#T210
Resources1.2%#199
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 61.3 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.8M/yr
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