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ONSWINGOntario
Windsor West
H
Harb Gill
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal34%±5%·53% win
Conservative33%±5%·38% win
NDP28%±5%·8% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
18.5%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$44,080
Renters
40.6%
Under 35
19.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.0%
Area
88 km²
GE45 result
Margin
8.1%
Competitive
91.9/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare26.1% aged 65+
Employment18.5% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#311
Median income
$44,080
bottom 10%#T208
Avg 2BR rent
$1392/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#7
Unemployment
18.5%
top 5%#120
Shelter stressed
22.5%
#81
Renters
40.6%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
19.1%#82
35–64
54.8%
65+
26.1%#206
Housing tenure
Renters
40.6%#81
Owners
59.4%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.9%#104
High school
28.4%#89
College/trades
28.7%#251
Bachelor's
18.4%#180
Postgrad
12.7%#113
People & Economy
#T162
French knowledge
8.3%
#95
Immigrants
32.1%
#T51
Recent arrivals
6.7%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#79
Visible minority
41.4%
top 25%#T175
Indigenous
2.6%
#T51
Govt. transfers
17.6%
top 25%#275
Self-employed
10.9%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector23.0%
Manufacturing18.7%
Trades & transport16.9%
Finance & prof9.5%
Resources1.5%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 43.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
Below averageIndex: 76.2 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.6M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.7M/yr
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