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BCSAFEBC
Cariboo—Prince George
T
Todd Doherty
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative53%±6%·>99% win
Liberal28%±5%·<1% win
NDP13%±5%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
9.6%
#42 of 343top 25%
Median income
$51,120
Renters
24.1%
Under 35
16.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 26.7%
Area
90,046 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.9%
Competitive
70.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare30.3% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 1104 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#190
Median income
$51,120
#T157
Avg 2BR rent
$1522/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T202
Unemployment
9.4%
#T279
Shelter stressed
13.5%
bottom 25%#226
Renters
24.1%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.4%#T128
35–64
53.2%
65+
30.3%#119
Housing tenure
Renters
24.1%#226
Owners
74.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
13.8%#69
High school
33.2%#13
College/trades
34.7%#173
Bachelor's
12.2%#T287
Postgrad
6.0%#T240
People & Economy
#313
French knowledge
4.2%
bottom 10%#232
Immigrants
9.8%
#T228
Recent arrivals
1.5%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#226
Visible minority
8.2%
#T27
Indigenous
15.8%
top 10%#144
Govt. transfers
14.0%
#152
Self-employed
14.3%
Industry of employment
Public sector26.7%
Trades & transport23.3%
Manufacturing10.0%
Resources9.6%
Finance & prof6.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 11.3 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 1104 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.5M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.2M/yr
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