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QCSAFEQuebec
Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi
S
Sophie Chatel
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal58%±7%·>99% win
Conservative20%±5%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois10%±5%·<1% win
NDP7%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
45.6%
#9 of 343top 5%
Median income
$56,550
Renters
24.7%
Under 35
16.2%
Top industry
Public sector · 45.6%
Area
30,322 km²
GE45 result
Margin
27.0%
Competitive
73.0/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T104
Median income
$56,550
#191
Avg 2BR rent
$1434/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T266
Unemployment
7.9%
bottom 25%#304
Shelter stressed
12.2%
bottom 25%#218
Renters
24.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.2%#132
35–64
59.3%
65+
24.4%#244
Housing tenure
Renters
24.7%#218
Owners
75.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.7%#110
High school
18.2%#259
College/trades
36.0%#154
Bachelor's
21.0%#145
Postgrad
13.1%#108
People & Economy
#70
French knowledge
83.0%
top 25%#215
Immigrants
11.5%
#T194
Recent arrivals
2.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#195
Visible minority
13.1%
#63
Indigenous
8.4%
top 25%#T185
Govt. transfers
12.5%
#T180
Self-employed
13.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector45.6%#9
Trades & transport16.8%#T201
Finance & prof7.9%#237
Manufacturing3.6%#304
Resources2.7%#T150
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 23.7 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 5 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$1.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.3M/yr
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