Your district
Find your district, and who represents it.
Your MLA, how your district voted in 2024, and what the polls point to there now.
The House today
Liberal majority
Liberal: 31 of 49 seats. A majority is 25.
No election has been called. The next general election is set by law for Monday, October 16, 2028, 713 days from now, and can be called sooner.
Who governs
Since the 2024 election, no seat has changed party.
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New Brunswick, in your inbox.
Our New Brunswick coverage as the polls move, plus a profile of every federal riding, one at a time.
- The 343A profile of every riding: the place, the people who have represented it, what decides it.
- Field NotesLong-form analysis of what is moving, and why.
- When things moveA note when the model shifts, new polls land or a riding flips.
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If an election were held today
Nov 3, 2026Liberal majority
97% chance of a majority · 30 of 49 seats expected
26–33 seats in 80% of simulations · 25 needed
- Liberal majority97%
- Liberal most seats, no majority2%
Election set for Monday, October 16, 2028
Too close to call
- Saint John EastProgressive Conservative vs LiberalPC53%Liberal47%
- Hanwell-New MarylandLiberal vs Progressive ConservativeLiberal54%PC46%
- QuispamsisLiberal vs Progressive ConservativeLiberal64%PC36%
- Moncton NorthwestLiberal vs Progressive ConservativeLiberal66%PC34%
- Hampton-Fundy-St. MartinsLiberal vs Progressive ConservativeLiberal67%PC33%
- RiverviewProgressive Conservative vs LiberalPC77%Liberal22%
How close 2024 was
6 districts were decided by under five points, and 11 by under ten. Small moves in the provincial vote move seats. See how the average is built.
Where the polls stand
Every provincial poll since the 2024 election, averaged by recency and sample size.
Liberal ahead by 12.5 points
The average on Nov 3, 2026: Liberal 44.4% · PC 31.9% · Green 13.6%
- In today's average
- 4 polls
- Weighted by recency and sample size
- Since the 2024 election
- 7 polls
- From 4 firms
Latest polls
What you can do here
Map
49 districts by projected winner.All 49 districts, coloured by projected winner, with the win probability behind every one.
Open the map →Polls
Every poll, and the average.Every provincial poll, and the weighted average built from them.
See the polls →Legislature
Standings and the cabinet.Standings in the 49-seat Legislative Assembly and who holds each cabinet portfolio.
See the House →Districts
2024 results, district by district.The certified 2024 result, the margin, and the census profile for every district.
Browse districts →Projections are a swing model over the certified 2024 result, not a poll of polls dressed up as seats.
How the average is built →Data sources
Elections New Brunswick (results and boundaries) · GeoNB (polling divisions) · Statistics Canada (the 2021 Census) · Wikipedia (polls)
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