British Columbia · Votes Oct 24, 2026 · 13 days to go
Find your district, and who is running.
Who is on the ballot where you live, how your district voted in 2024, and how to vote.
If the vote were held today
Our model, from published polls. Paler means closer.
If a provincial election were held today
Projected Conservative majority
- Conservative52
- NDP39
- Green2
- OneBC0
- CentreBC0
52 of 93 seats · 47 needed for a majority. Majority in 73% of simulations · 80% land between 40 and 63 seats
A reading of the polls on Oct 11, 2026, not a prediction: they can still move before voting day. The forecast, district by district →
How to vote
BC votes Saturday, October 24British Columbia votes Saturday, October 24
13 days away
Links go to Elections BC, which runs the election. Northern Vibe is not affiliated with Elections BC.
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Our BC coverage through voting day and after, plus a profile of every federal riding, one at a time.
- The 343A profile of every riding: the place, the people who have represented it, what decides it.
- Field NotesLong-form analysis of what is moving, and why.
- When things moveA note when the model shifts, new polls land or a riding flips.
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If a provincial election were held today
Oct 11, 2026Every result, and how often
- Conservative majority73%
- BC NDP majority19%
- Conservative most seats, no majority4%
- BC NDP most seats, no majority3%
- Tie for most seats1%
Too close to call
- Vancouver-QuilchenaCallista Ryan vs Carson BindaNDP41%CON35%
- Vancouver-YaletownTerry Yung vs Margareta DovgalNDP55%CON45%
- Ladysmith-OceansideStephanie Higginson vs Kris McNicholNDP60%CON40%
- Surrey City CentreZeeshan Wahla vs Amna ShahCON60%NDP40%
- Richmond-StevestonGordon Zhang vs Bruce KongCON61%NDP39%
- Surrey-FleetwoodGarry Purewal vs Jagrup BrarCON61%NDP39%
How close 2024 was
22 districts were decided by under five points, and 36 by under ten. The closest, Surrey-Guildford, came down to about a tenth of a point. Small moves in the provincial vote move a lot of seats. See how the average is built.
What you can do here
Map
93 districts by projected winner.All 93 districts, coloured by projected winner, with the win probability behind every one.
Open the map →Polls
Every poll, and the average.Every provincial poll, the weighted average built from them, and the house effect measured for each firm.
See the polls →Legislature
Standings and the cabinet.Standings in the 93-seat Legislative Assembly and who currently holds each cabinet portfolio.
See the Assembly →Districts
2024 results, district by district.The certified 2024 result, the margin, and the full census profile for every district.
Browse districts →Projections are a swing model over the certified 2024 result, not a poll of polls dressed up as seats.
How the average is built →