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Vancouver IslandSwingRural
Ladysmith-Oceanside
Incumbent: Stephanie Higginson · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP60% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Stephanie Higginson (incumbent)60%
- Conservative · Kris McNichol40%
- BC Green · Charlene Smylie
2024 result
- Stephanie Higginsonelected14,14441.5%
- Brett Fee12,09735.5%
- Adam Walker5,55916.3%
- Laura Ferreira2,2926.7%
- Margin
- 6.0%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 69.0%
- Registered
- 49,387
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Adam Walkerelected7,98229.3%
- Michelle Stilwell6,77024.9%
- Doug Routley3,68513.5%
- Rob Lyon3,06811.3%
- Chris Istace2,1918.0%
- Duck (don) Paterson1,6626.1%
- Don Purdey8483.1%
- John St John3121.1%
- Josie Osborne2550.9%
- Nicholas Simons1120.4%
- Helen Poon960.3%
- Evan Jolicoeur950.3%
- Kim Darwin730.3%
- Sandra Stoddart-Hansen330.1%
- Sheila Malcolmson260.1%
- Lia Marie Constance Versaevel120.0%
- Graham Hughes110.0%
- Kathleen Jones100.0%
- Robert Alexander Clarke60.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2451%
- 25-3445%
- 35-4457%
- 45-5462%
- 55-6471%
- 65-7479%
- 75+76%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $77,50066 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,30063 of 93
- Renters
- 17.0%89 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 20.9%59 of 93
- Median age
- 60.41 of 93
- Over 65
- 40.6%1 of 93
- Immigrants
- 15.7%58 of 93
- Visible minority
- 4.2%89 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 6.3%37 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.0%65 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.