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Vancouver IslandSafeRural
North Island
Incumbent: Anna Kindy · Conservative
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative90% chance of winning
- Conservative · Anna Kindy (incumbent)90%
- BC NDP · Sara Lopez10%
- BC Green · Benjamin Olsson
- Independent · Richard Lambert
2024 result
- Anna Kindyelected14,10047.1%
- Michele Babchuk13,46144.9%
- Nic Dedeluk2,3978.0%
- Margin
- 2.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 62.1%
- Registered
- 48,249
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Michele Babchukelected12,02050.1%
- Norm Facey5,72223.9%
- Alexandra Morton4,44218.5%
- John Twigg1,4185.9%
- Ronna-Rae Leonard1400.6%
- Brennan Day870.4%
- Gillian Anderson590.3%
- Nicholas Simons500.2%
- Kim Darwin390.2%
- Sandra Stoddart-Hansen150.1%
- Jennifer Rice10.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2450%
- 25-3446%
- 35-4455%
- 45-5459%
- 55-6464%
- 65-7474%
- 75+71%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $73,50079 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,12978 of 93
- Renters
- 24.8%56 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.9%82 of 93
- Median age
- 48.817 of 93
- Over 65
- 25.7%17 of 93
- Immigrants
- 10.5%80 of 93
- Visible minority
- 4.9%84 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 16.0%9 of 93
- Unemployment
- 9.1%34 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.