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Vancouver IslandLeanUrban
Nanaimo-Lantzville
Incumbent: George Anderson · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP87% chance of winning
- BC NDP · George Anderson (incumbent)87%
- Conservative · Kelsey Pringle13%
- BC Green · Sharleen Weatherley
2024 result
- George Andersonelected15,30751.8%
- Gwen O'Mahony11,68739.5%
- Lia Versaevel2,5868.7%
- Margin
- 12.2%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 65.9%
- Registered
- 44,879
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Sheila Malcolmsonelected7,34728.7%
- Adam Walker4,83218.9%
- Michelle Stilwell4,09616.0%
- Kathleen Jones3,13912.3%
- Lia Marie Constance Versaevel3,04411.9%
- Rob Lyon1,9747.7%
- Don Purdey5222.0%
- Doug Routley2430.9%
- Chris Istace1630.6%
- John St John1280.5%
- Duck (don) Paterson960.4%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2454%
- 25-3450%
- 35-4459%
- 45-5464%
- 55-6470%
- 65-7479%
- 75+73%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $86,00048 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,47437 of 93
- Renters
- 23.8%58 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 24.7%48 of 93
- Median age
- 48.020 of 93
- Over 65
- 27.1%12 of 93
- Immigrants
- 17.5%55 of 93
- Visible minority
- 13.8%57 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 6.5%34 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.1%60 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.