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Oct 11, 2026

The Northern Vibe🍁 Who governs, and who answers for it. Riding by riding.

Your district

Find your district, and who represents it.

Your MLA, how your district voted in 2024, and what the polls point to there now.

Who holds each district

The House today, not a forecast

See the map →

The House today

Progressive Conservative majority

29 for a majority
  • PC43
  • NDP9
  • Liberal3
  • Independent1

Progressive Conservative: 43 of 56 seats. A majority is 29.

No fixed election date. The next general election is due by late 2029, five years after the last.

The Northern Vibe newsletter

Nova Scotia, in your inbox.

Our Nova Scotia coverage as the polls move, plus a profile of every federal riding, one at a time.

  • The 343A profile of every riding: the place, the people who have represented it, what decides it.
  • Field NotesLong-form analysis of what is moving, and why.
  • When things moveA note when the model shifts, new polls land or a riding flips.

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If an election were held today

Oct 11, 2026

Progressive Conservative majority

66% chance of a majority · 30 of 56 seats expected

26–34 seats in 80% of simulations · 29 needed

PC30NDP17Liberal8Independent1Green0
  • Progressive Conservative majority66%
  • Progressive Conservative most seats, no majority33%
The forecast, district by district →

How close 2024 was

6 districts were decided by under five points, and 12 by under ten. Small moves in the provincial vote move seats. See how the average is built.

Data sources

Elections Nova Scotia · Statistics Canada 2021 Census

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