Your district
Find your district, and who represents it.
Your MLA, how your district voted in 2024, and what the polls point to there now.
The House today
Progressive Conservative majority
- PC43
- NDP9
- Liberal3
- Independent1
Progressive Conservative: 43 of 56 seats. A majority is 29.
No fixed election date. The next general election is due by late 2029, five years after the last.
If an election were held today
Oct 11, 2026Progressive Conservative majority
66% chance of a majority · 30 of 56 seats expected
26–34 seats in 80% of simulations · 29 needed
- Progressive Conservative majority66%
- Progressive Conservative most seats, no majority33%
Too close to call
- Hants WestLiberal vs Progressive ConservativeLiberal51%PC48%
- ClareProgressive Conservative vs LiberalPC56%Liberal44%
- Halifax AtlanticProgressive Conservative vs NS NDPPC58%NDP42%
- Cole Harbour-DartmouthNS NDP vs Progressive ConservativeNDP61%PC37%
- Kings NorthNS NDP vs Progressive ConservativeNDP65%PC35%
- Eastern PassageProgressive Conservative vs NS NDPPC67%NDP32%
How close 2024 was
6 districts were decided by under five points, and 12 by under ten. Small moves in the provincial vote move seats. See how the average is built.
What you can do here
Map
56 districts by projected winner.All 56 districts, coloured by projected winner, with the win probability behind every one.
Open the map →Polls
Every poll, and the average.Every provincial poll, the weighted average built from them, and the house effect measured for each firm.
See the polls →Legislature
Standings and the cabinet.Standings in the 56-seat House of Assembly and who holds each cabinet portfolio.
See the House →Districts
2024 results, district by district.The certified 2024 result, the margin, and the census profile for every district.
Browse districts →Projections are a swing model over the certified 2024 result, not a poll of polls dressed up as seats.
How the average is built →



