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Dartmouth, Cole Harbour and the Eastern ShoreSwingUrban

Cole Harbour-Dartmouth

MLA: Brad McGowan · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.

NS NDP61% chance of winning

  • NS NDP · 35.7% projected vote61%
  • Progressive Conservative · 33.8% projected vote37%
  • Liberal · 25.9% projected vote2%

2024 result

  • Brad McGowan · Progressive Conservativeelected4,24351.6%
  • Kayley Dixon · NS NDP2,07925.3%
  • Vishal Bhardwaj · Liberal1,89423.1%
Margin
26.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
48.9%
Registered
16,802

2021 result

  • Lorelei Nicoll · Liberalelected5,14452.2%
  • Karina Sanford · Progressive Conservative2,92929.8%
  • Melody Pentland · NS NDP1,55815.8%
  • Rana Zaman · Green2152.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.

Median household income
$105,0383 of 56
Average rent
$1,5902 of 56
Renters
28.0%22 of 56
Bachelor's or higher
32.4%11 of 56
Median age
47.329 of 56
Over 65
24.2%28 of 56
Speak French
13.7%11 of 56
Immigrants
9.3%10 of 56
Indigenous identity
2.7%46 of 56
Unemployment
9.7%50 of 56

Closest races in Dartmouth, Cole Harbour and the Eastern Shore

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.