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Dartmouth, Cole Harbour and the Eastern ShoreSafeRural

Eastern Shore

MLA: Kent Smith · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 44.2% projected vote>99%
  • NS NDP · 26.7% projected vote<1%

2024 result

  • Kent Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected4,69062.0%
  • Doyle Safire · Liberal1,44119.1%
  • Don Carney · NS NDP1,23116.3%
  • Kevin Conrod · Green1972.6%
Margin
43.0%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
42.7%
Registered
17,700

2021 result

  • Kent Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected4,26445.8%
  • Kevin Murphy · Liberal3,16934.1%
  • Deirdre Dwyer · NS NDP1,61817.4%
  • Cheryl Atkinson · Green2542.7%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.

Median household income
$83,87613 of 56
Average rent
$96024 of 56
Renters
10.3%52 of 56
Bachelor's or higher
16.9%30 of 56
Median age
49.124 of 56
Over 65
22.6%34 of 56
Speak French
9.4%25 of 56
Immigrants
4.8%30 of 56
Indigenous identity
5.9%18 of 56
Unemployment
10.4%44 of 56

Closest races in Dartmouth, Cole Harbour and the Eastern Shore

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.