If an election were held today
Progressive Conservative majority
66% chance of a majority · 30 of 56 seats expected
Outcome odds, if an election were held today
- Progressive Conservative majority66%
- Progressive Conservative most seats, no majority33%
Seats won
bar = 80% range▲▼ change from seats held today29 to govern
- PC30▼1313 seats fewer than it holds today26–34 likelyTim Houston
more likely than not to win a majority
NDP17▲88 seats more than it holds today14–19 likelyClaudia Chender
Liberal8▲55 seats more than it holds today6–11 likelyIain Rankin (interim)- INIndependent10–1 likely
Green00–0 likelyAnthony Edmonds
Districts projected to change party
(14)Districts where the projected winner is a different party from the one holding the seat now. Left dot is who holds it, right is who takes it.
DistrictChangeChance
Projected change
Paler = too close to call
30▼ 13 vs today
17▲ 8 vs today
8▲ 5 vs today
IN
1