If an election were held today
Saskatchewan Party majority
74% chance of a majority · 32 of 61 seats expected
Outcome odds, if an election were held today
- Saskatchewan Party majority74%
- Saskatchewan NDP majority25%
- Tie for most seats1%
Election set for Monday, October 30, 2028: 727 days away
Seats won
bar = 80% range▲▼ change from seats held today31 to govern
- Sask Party32▼22 seats fewer than it holds today29–35 likelyScott Moe
more likely than not to win a majority
NDP29▲33 seats more than it holds today25–32 likelyCarla Beck- DBSask United00–0 likelyDwight Bunyan (interim)
Projected on the 61 constituencies of the 2022 map (The Representation Act, 2022), first used in 2024 and in force for the 2028 election. The 2020 figures are moved onto this map from the old one by NorthernVibe.
Constituencies projected to change party
(4)Constituencies where the projected winner is a different party from the one holding the seat now. Left dot is who holds it, right is who takes it.
ConstituencyChangeChance
Projected change
Paler = too close to call
32▼ 2 vs today
29▲ 3 vs today