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Saskatchewan polls

Provincial voting intention. Every poll from the past six months counts, weighted by its decided sample and how recent it is; a poll a party commissioned counts at half weight.

Trend

The weighted average over the past two years. The band around each line is the uncertainty on that average, which is the part worth reading: where two bands overlap, the order of those two parties is not established.

Weighted average

as of Nov 2, 2026
  • Sask Party48.9%
  • NDP43.9%
  • Sask United2.2%
  • Green0.9%
  • Other4.1%

Every poll whose fieldwork ended in the past 180 days counts, not just each firm's latest: Saskatchewan is polled a few times a year, half the time by one online panel, so one poll per firm would leave the average resting on one or two polls. Each poll is weighted by its decided sample and by a recency decay with a 90-day half-life, and a poll a party commissioned counts at half weight. Most polls name only the Saskatchewan Party and the NDP, so the rest of the vote is split among Sask United, the Greens and Others by their ratios in the polls that name them, or by the 2024 result when none do. No house-effect correction is applied: there are too few polls to measure one firm against another. When fewer than three polls fall inside the window, the average reaches back to the three most recent.

Since the 2024 election (5 polls)

  • Angus ReidOct 26, 2026

    Sask Party 51NDP 40Green 1Other 8505 respondents

  • Abacus DataOct 13, 2026

    Sask Party 48NDP 46Other 61000 respondents

  • Commissioned by the Saskatchewan NDP; counts half in the average

    Sask Party 45NDP 45Sask United 3Green 2Other 5612 respondents

  • Angus ReidDec 1, 2025

    Sask Party 55NDP 39Green 2Other 5326 respondents

  • Angus ReidSep 5, 2025

    Sask Party 54NDP 41Green 1Other 6296 respondents

A dash means the party was not offered as an option in that poll, which is different from polling at zero. Others includes the Buffalo Party and the Progressive Conservatives where a pollster names them, as the average counts them.