Prince Edward Island polls
Provincial voting intention. Every poll from the past six months counts, weighted by its decided sample and how recent it is; a poll a party commissioned counts at half weight.
Trend
The weighted average over the past two years. The band around each line is the uncertainty on that average, which is the part worth reading: where two bands overlap, the order of those two parties is not established.
Weighted average
as of Oct 11, 2026- Green43.0%
- Liberal27.1%
- PC21.8%
- NDP7.3%
- Other0.8%
Every poll whose fieldwork ended in the past 180 days counts, not just each firm's latest: Prince Edward Island has one regular pollster, so one poll per firm would let a single poll stand in for the whole average. Each poll is weighted by its decided sample and by a recency decay with a 90-day half-life, and a poll a party commissioned counts at half weight. Others, chiefly the Island Party, are held at their 2023 share, because recent polls do not offer the Island Party by name, and the four main parties share the rest. No house-effect correction is applied: with one regular firm there is nothing to measure it against. When no poll falls inside the window, the average reaches back to the most recent ones.
Since the 2023 election (11 polls)
| Firm | Field dates | Green | Liberal | PC | NDP | Other | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narrative Research | Sep 16, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026 | 46 | 24 | 20 | 9 | – | 150 |
| Narrative Research | Jun 10, 2026 – Jun 17, 2026 | 54 | 26 | 18 | 3 | – | 147 |
| MQO ResearchCommissioned by the Liberal Party of Prince Edward Island; counts half in the average | Apr 18, 2026 – Apr 23, 2026 | 26 | 36 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 443 |
| Narrative Research | Mar 6, 2026 – Mar 11, 2026 | 41 | 26 | 25 | 7 | – | 176 |
| Narrative Research | Nov 6, 2024 – Nov 19, 2024 | 24 | 19 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | Aug 5, 2024 – Aug 16, 2024 | 32 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | May 8, 2024 – May 29, 2024 | 33 | 15 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | Feb 8, 2024 – Feb 13, 2024 | 28 | 12 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | Nov 8, 2023 – Nov 26, 2023 | 18 | 17 | 56 | 6 | 3 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | Aug 2, 2023 – Aug 15, 2023 | 22 | 18 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 300 |
| Narrative Research | May 4, 2023 – May 13, 2023 | 25 | 16 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 300 |
A dash means the party was not offered as an option in that poll, which is different from polling at zero.