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Annapolis ValleyToss-upRural

Hants West

MLA: Melissa Sheehy-Richard · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election may be years away.

Liberal51% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 35.7% projected vote51%
  • Progressive Conservative · 35.4% projected vote48%
  • NS NDP · 24.5% projected vote<1%

2024 result

  • Melissa Sheehy-Richard · Progressive Conservativeelected4,25352.6%
  • Brian Casey · Liberal2,62132.4%
  • Simon Greenough · NS NDP1,12013.8%
  • James Omand · Independent931.1%
Margin
20.2%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
45.7%
Registered
17,707

2021 result

  • Melissa · Progressive Conservativeelected3,96843.1%
  • Brian Casey · Liberal3,82741.6%
  • Caet Moir · NS NDP1,01511.0%
  • Jenn Kang · Green2733.0%
  • Gordon J. Berry · Other1211.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Nova Scotia's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are exact sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 56 districts.

Median household income
$70,90025 of 56
Average rent
$90731 of 56
Renters
20.3%32 of 56
Bachelor's or higher
16.1%34 of 56
Median age
49.125 of 56
Over 65
24.6%27 of 56
Speak French
5.2%45 of 56
Immigrants
3.2%44 of 56
Indigenous identity
2.8%44 of 56
Unemployment
10.3%45 of 56

Closest races in Annapolis Valley

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Nova Scotia. Census: Statistics Canada.