← Map
Vancouver IslandSafeUrban
Saanich South
MLA at dissolution: Lana Popham · BC NDP · not running here
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP98% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Richard Zussman98%
- Conservative · Cathie Ounsted2%
- BC Green · Lisa Lapointe
2024 result
- Lana Pophamelected15,33849.8%
- Adam Kubel10,00332.5%
- Ned Taylor5,48517.8%
- Margin
- 17.3%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 67.5%
- Registered
- 45,655
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Lana Pophamelected15,01151.1%
- Rishi Sharma6,53122.2%
- Kate O'Connor5,40818.4%
- Adam Olsen1,1493.9%
- Zeb King7122.4%
- Stephen P Roberts4751.6%
- Murray Rankin550.2%
- Roxanne Helme270.1%
- Nicole Duncan250.1%
- Florian Castle10.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2458%
- 25-3453%
- 35-4464%
- 45-5467%
- 55-6472%
- 65-7478%
- 75+72%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $103,00015 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,48036 of 93
- Renters
- 23.6%61 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 33.0%28 of 93
- Median age
- 47.621 of 93
- Over 65
- 25.3%20 of 93
- Immigrants
- 21.2%50 of 93
- Visible minority
- 21.7%49 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 3.3%57 of 93
- Unemployment
- 5.6%93 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.