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ONLEANOntario
Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
G
Giovanna Mingarelli
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal59%±6%·>99% win
Conservative31%±5%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Public sector
37.5%
#19 of 343top 10%
Median income
$56,100
Renters
21.4%
Under 35
14.0%
Top industry
Public sector · 37.5%
Area
2,479 km²
GE45 result
Margin
14.5%
Competitive
85.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare28.6% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#109
Median income
$56,100
#255
Avg 2BR rent
$1228/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#302
Unemployment
6.5%
bottom 25%#256
Shelter stressed
14.6%
#261
Renters
21.4%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
14.0%#197
35–64
57.4%
65+
28.6%#T161
Housing tenure
Renters
21.4%#261
Owners
78.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
8.7%#207
High school
28.0%#T96
College/trades
41.0%#74
Bachelor's
15.9%#215
Postgrad
6.3%#236
People & Economy
#79
French knowledge
73.8%
top 25%#277
Immigrants
6.0%
bottom 25%#T287
Recent arrivals
0.7%
bottom 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T268
Visible minority
5.3%
bottom 25%#114
Indigenous
4.4%
#T187
Govt. transfers
12.2%
#172
Self-employed
13.6%
Industry of employment
Public sector37.5%
Trades & transport21.1%
Finance & prof7.8%
Manufacturing5.3%
Resources3.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 42.7 / 100
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$12.1M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$3.1M/yr
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