QuebecUrbanToday's projection: Swing
Terrebonne
Represented by Tatiana Auguste, Liberal. Won the 2026 by-election by 1.4 points.
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The latest profile
9/343The Warm Coast and the Coldest FileBeauséjour · Sep 8, 20269 of 343 ridings profiled
2026 by-election
GE45 result annulled by the Supreme Court of Canada in February 2026; this by-election was a re-run of that contest.
- Tatiana Auguste · LiberalElected22,44548.3%
- Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné · Bloc Québécois21,77746.9%
- Adrienne Charles · Conservative1,5483.3%
- Maxime Beaudoin · NDP2480.5%
- Benjamin Rankin · Green1940.4%
- Maria Cantore · People's1130.2%
- Margin over second
- 1.4 pts
- Turnout
- 50.8%
2025 election · Bloc Québécois by 0.0 pts
- Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné · Bloc QuébécoisElected23,35138.7%
- Tatiana Auguste · Liberal23,35238.7%
- Adrienne Charles · Conservative10,96118.2%
- Maxime Beaudoin · NDP1,5562.6%
- Benjamin Rankin · Green6301.0%
- Maria Cantore · People's4280.7%
- Margin over second
- 0.0 pts
- Turnout
- 67.9%
2021 election, on today's map · Bloc Québécois by 12.0 pts
Estimated. 2021 was fought on the old 338-seat map, so these are its votes transposed onto today's boundaries: a notional result, not a count.
- Bloc QuébécoisMost votes23,29841.4%
- Liberal16,52829.4%
- Conservative5,88610.5%
- NDP3,7426.7%
- People's1,5062.7%
- Green8021.4%
- Margin over second
- 12.0 pts
- Turnout
- 65.1%
If an election were held today
Our latest projection from published polls.
ShareWin
- Liberal41%66%
- Bloc Québécois38%34%
- NDP7%<1%
- Conservative7%<1%
- Green3%<1%
- People's3%<1%
Bar: central estimate. Line beneath: the likely range (10th to 90th percentile). Win: chance of taking the seat.
Who lives here
Mostly the 2021 Census. Ranks compare all 343 ridings, 1st being the highest; the bar shows where this one sits.
Where it stands out
Know French99.1%28th of 343
Money and housing
Renters and owners
- Renters 24.6%
- Owners 75.4%
- Median income
- $53,750146th of 343
- Average 2-bedroom rent
- $1,173/mo270th of 343Estimated: 2021 Census differences scaled to CMHC's fall 2025 rents.
- Households in shelter stress
- 13.6%275th of 343
- Renters
- 24.6%221st of 343
- Unemployment
- 5.9%tied 317th of 343
- Income from government transfers
- 13.5%tied 158th of 343
People
Age
- Under 35 13.7%
- 35 to 64 63.4%
- 65 and over 22.9%
- Immigrants
- 12.1%209th of 343
- Recent immigrants
- 1.0%tied 260th of 343Arrived 2016 to 2021.
- Visible minority
- 16.8%172nd of 343
- Indigenous
- 1.4%262nd of 343
- Know French
- 99.1%28th of 343
- Population density
- 699/km²152nd of 343
More: work, hazards and federal spending
Work and education
Education, ages 25 to 64
- No diploma 11.8%
- High school 18.5%
- College or trades 48.9%
- Bachelor's 14.6%
- Postgraduate 6.3%
- Public sector
- 29.2%110th of 343
- Finance and professional
- 9.6%191st of 343
- Trades and transport jobs
- 19.1%150th of 343
- Manufacturing
- 9.8%104th of 343
- Natural resources
- 0.8%tied 235th of 343
- Self-employed
- 11.0%270th of 343
Hazards
- Flood risk
- HighIndex 38.5 of 100
- Wildfire risk
- LowIndex 3 (Canada = 100)
Federal spending
- Federal spending, yearly average
- $7.9M/yr
- Canada Community-Building Fund
- $5.1M/yr
- Area
- 160 km²
Ridings like this one
The closest to this one on six census measures, from anywhere in the country.
- Prescott—Russell—CumberlandLiberal· OntarioSimilar share under 35 and average rent
- Huron—BruceConservative· OntarioSimilar share under 35 and average rent
- RepentignyBloc Québécois· QuebecSimilar unemployment rate and population density
- Montmorency—CharlevoixConservative· QuebecSimilar median income and unemployment rate