A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Bloc Québécois42%±6%·65% win
Liberal40%±6%·35% win
Conservative8%±6%·<1% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
French knowledge
99.4%
#17 of 343top 5%
Median income
$52,400
Renters
25.7%
Under 35
11.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.8%
Area
156 km²
GE45 result
Margin
3.4%
Competitive
96.6/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare29.9% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T170 / 343
Median income
$52,400
#216 / 343
Avg 2BR rent
$1373/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T317 / 343
Unemployment
5.9%
bottom 10%
#271 / 343
Shelter stressed
13.8%
bottom 25%
#204 / 343
Renters
25.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
11.8%#T274
35–64
58.3%
65+
29.9%#T125
Housing tenure
Renters
25.7%#204
Owners
74.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
10.4%#153
High school
19.2%#240
College/trades
49.0%#20
Bachelor's
15.4%#226
Postgrad
6.0%#245
People & Economy
#17 / 343
French knowledge
99.4%
top 5%
#221 / 343
Immigrants
10.8%
#T280 / 343
Recent arrivals
0.8%
bottom 25%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#180 / 343
Visible minority
15.2%
#T274 / 343
Indigenous
1.2%
bottom 25%
#T122 / 343
Govt. transfers
14.7%
#288 / 343
Self-employed
10.5%
bottom 25%
Industry of employment
Public sector30.8%#83
Trades & transport18.9%#156
Finance & prof10.2%#178
Manufacturing8.2%#T151
Resources0.9%#T222
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
High
Index: 49.8 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.