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QCTOSSUPQuebec
Richmond—Arthabaska
É
Éric Lefebvre
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal35%±6%·75% win
Conservative29%±6%·19% win
Bloc Québécois26%±6%·6% win
NDP5%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Manufacturing
20.3%
#7 of 343top 5%
Median income
$44,920
Renters
32.0%
Under 35
15.4%
Top industry
Public sector · 24.4%
Area
3,572 km²
GE45 result
Margin
2.5%
Competitive
97.5/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.8% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#300
Median income
$44,920
bottom 25%#324
Avg 2BR rent
$922/mo
bottom 10%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T340
Unemployment
4.8%
bottom 5%#314
Shelter stressed
11.2%
bottom 10%#126
Renters
32.0%
Age distribution
Under 35
15.4%#156
35–64
51.8%
65+
32.8%#71
Housing tenure
Renters
32.0%#126
Owners
68.0%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.5%#39
High school
18.1%#262
College/trades
49.6%#16
Bachelor's
10.7%#321
Postgrad
5.2%#270
People & Economy
#29
French knowledge
99.0%
top 10%#321
Immigrants
2.4%
bottom 10%#312
Recent arrivals
0.4%
bottom 10%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#314
Visible minority
2.4%
bottom 10%#T254
Indigenous
1.4%
#T26
Govt. transfers
19.4%
top 10%#182
Self-employed
13.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector24.4%
Trades & transport20.7%
Manufacturing20.3%
Finance & prof6.6%
Resources5.4%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 18.9 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.1M/yr
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