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MBSAFEPrairies
Winnipeg South Centre
B
Ben Carr
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal67%±6%·>99% win
Conservative19%±5%·<1% win
NDP8%±5%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Bachelor's+
51.7%
#40 of 343top 25%
Median income
$60,400
Renters
42.3%
Under 35
22.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 33.4%
Area
46 km²
GE45 result
Margin
35.9%
Competitive
64.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.0% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#65
Median income
$60,400
top 25%#155
Avg 2BR rent
$1531/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T259
Unemployment
8.1%
bottom 25%#131
Shelter stressed
21.9%
#74
Renters
42.3%
top 25%Age distribution
Under 35
22.9%#41
35–64
50.1%
65+
27.0%#187
Housing tenure
Renters
42.3%#74
Owners
57.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.5%#T314
High school
19.5%#233
College/trades
24.3%#305
Bachelor's
33.0%#30
Postgrad
18.8%#51
People & Economy
#134
French knowledge
11.1%
#154
Immigrants
20.4%
#95
Recent arrivals
5.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T141
Visible minority
24.9%
#66
Indigenous
8.1%
top 25%#T278
Govt. transfers
9.1%
bottom 25%#T198
Self-employed
12.8%
Industry of employment
Public sector33.4%
Finance & prof14.3%
Trades & transport10.7%
Manufacturing5.4%
Resources0.8%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 41.9 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.4M/yr
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