A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal43%±6%·56% win
Conservative42%±6%·44% win
NDP10%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Under 35
24.9%
#24 of 343top 10%
Median income
$59,600
Renters
33.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 32.9%
Area
71 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.5%
Competitive
92.5/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T74
Median income
$59,600
top 25%
#145
Avg 2BR rent
$1567/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T253
Unemployment
8.2%
#147
Shelter stressed
21.1%
#112
Renters
33.9%
Age distribution
Under 35
24.9%#24
35–64
53.3%
65+
21.7%#292
Housing tenure
Renters
33.9%#112
Owners
66.1%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.4%#317
High school
22.7%#179
College/trades
28.6%#253
Bachelor's
28.5%#65
Postgrad
15.8%#74
People & Economy
#T187
French knowledge
7.4%
#164
Immigrants
19.2%
#50
Recent arrivals
6.8%
top 25%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#152
Visible minority
23.0%
#59
Indigenous
8.7%
top 25%
#T288
Govt. transfers
8.8%
bottom 25%
#185
Self-employed
13.3%
Industry of employment
Public sector32.9%
Trades & transport15.0%
Finance & prof11.2%
Manufacturing5.0%
Resources3.7%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.