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MBSAFEPrairies
Winnipeg South
T
Terry Duguid
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal62%±6%·>99% win
Conservative26%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Retail & service
19.6%
#44 of 343top 25%
Median income
$52,150
Renters
28.7%
Under 35
21.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 30.6%
Area
97 km²
GE45 result
Margin
23.9%
Competitive
76.1/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#173
Median income
$52,150
#121
Avg 2BR rent
$1646/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T224
Unemployment
8.9%
#127
Shelter stressed
22.2%
#T157
Renters
28.7%
Age distribution
Under 35
21.9%#51
35–64
56.0%
65+
22.1%#288
Housing tenure
Renters
28.7%#T157
Owners
71.3%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.6%#T308
High school
20.5%#213
College/trades
25.9%#288
Bachelor's
31.9%#39
Postgrad
17.1%#62
People & Economy
#129
French knowledge
11.6%
#87
Immigrants
33.3%
#6
Recent arrivals
10.1%
top 5%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#52
Visible minority
48.3%
top 25%#75
Indigenous
6.7%
top 25%#258
Govt. transfers
10.0%
bottom 25%#T284
Self-employed
10.5%
bottom 25%Industry of employment
Public sector30.6%
Finance & prof13.4%
Trades & transport12.8%
Manufacturing6.8%
Resources0.9%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
HighIndex: 45.2 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
High severityIndex: 159.7 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.9M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.4M/yr
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